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ONLY IWCA CAPABLE OF
CHALLENGING BNP
25th January '03
It was fairly predictable given the near hysteria surrounding the issue
of asylum-seekers in the past weeks that BNP momentum would be maintained
in the Halifax by-election on January 23. Screaming national headlines
on a daily basis, which played to a core racist constituency nationally,
could not fail to have an impact on the voters in Mixenden in Calderdale.
And so it proved. But that is far from the full story. Whereas nationally
the BNP challenge undoubtedly benefited from the witch-hunt conducted
by the press, at a local level it was according to reports, the BNP that
was demonized. Instructively, despite what was largely an anti-extremist
campaign, the fascists narrowly beat the Lib-Democrats to take what had
previously been regarded as a safe Labour seat.
Coming so soon after Burnley in May, and the 8000 strong BNP vote in
Stoke in October not to mention the capturing of another seat by the BNP
in Blackburn just before Christmas, the Halifax result has left liberalism
reeling. For all that there is little mystery in the BNP success, for
as militant anti-fascist warnings over the last decade demonstrate, it
has been a long time coming. That is not to say that merely understanding
what is going on is the same as coming up with a remedy. Here again the
real problem is not that the remedy itself is elusive, but that as a bloc,
the liberal left stubbornly refuses to turn over any rocks for fear of
what it might reveal of itself.
Which is why in their review of the May elections the national secretary
of the Socialist Alliance (SA) Rob Hoveman publicly warned delegates that
there was 'nothing to learn from the IWCA'. 'Don't even go there' was
the edict. So it follows that when on the night of yet another BNP triumph,
an SA candidate, a local striking fireman to boot, gets 4.6% in a by-election
in Tottenham in north London, it is instantly presented as 'not being
a disaster'. Which tells you all you need to know about the current health
of British Trotskyism. Indeed so low is the bar that what really causes
the conservative left to cringe these days, is, when as happened on more
than one occasion last year, their average haul of 50 to 60 votes comes
in thirty or forty short. And if the SA and BNP results were a snapshot
of their respective trajectories and indeed eventual destinations, then
another by-election on the same evening also merits scrutiny.
In Bunhill in Islington the IWCA come within 15 votes of knocking Labour
into third place, taking 22% of the vote. A return which was well within
touching distance of the average 26% IWCA candidates received in May.
What was remarkable was that despite not standing in the ward previously
the IWCA took such a sizeable chunk of the vote, but as well as this,
the Lib-Dem incumbents who went into the election with a majority fractionally
under a 1000, together with their nominal Labour challengers both centered
their core propaganda on attempting to disable the IWCA campaign. Throughout,
the Lib-Dem propaganda relentlessly underscored, to the exclusion of all
else, the longstanding connections of their candidate to the area. As
it was only the IWCA who of all the parties putting in a serious challenge
stood a candidate from outside the ward, the target of such a disproportionate
emphasis was manifest. Just as timorous and ridiculous was the essence
of the Labour message to one of the most deprived areas in the country:
'voting IWCA was a wasted vote'. A strategy which in turn exposed their
primary concern as a fear of coming third.
Together with this up-front negative campaigning there was frenetic door
knocking, and extensive telephone canvassing behind the scenes, with word
of mouth slanders against the IWCA being apparently commonplace. Given
the antipathy of the leadership of the SA it is ironic that 'far-left'
was one of the 'Lib-Lab' allegations.
In the final week, in scenes more reminiscent of a parliamentary by election,
former Cabinet Minister Chris Smith as well as the other Islington MP
Jeremy Corbyn, were both out on the knocker. Again consistent with who
both parties saw as the political threat the final Lib Dem leaflet was
dedicated to attacking, not Labour - but the IWCA. Indisputably this ganging
up by the 'big two' affected the IWCA total. It would be unrealistic to
pretend it did not, particularly as the IWCA having never contested an
election in the ward previously, did not have a resilient voter base on
which it could safely rely. Yet despite the turn out, (unusually for a
by-election being up) the votes for all those who contested last May were
either down or stagnant.
In contrast the IWCA, particularly when the Clerkenwell results last
May are factored in, can be seen to have climbed from nowhere to being
arguably the formal political opposition in what was previously the borough
of Finsbury. Strategically not insignificant as the other parties are
all too aware. And all in nine months.
Yet another area of concern for the established parties is that while
the Lib-Dems retain the trust of 45% of those who voted, in real terms
they represent less than one in ten of those entitled to vote. As in Halifax
where by standing the BNP caused the turnout to increase, so in Bunhill,
where had the IWCA not stood the turnout may arguably have reached a record
low. Judging by the vote many who voted only did so because of the IWCA
manifesto.
Here then is the establishment underbelly: the threat of radical parties
reaching the seriously disaffected who number, at the last count, over
40% of the country and filling the political and indeed geographical space
that New Labour theorists felt could be safely vacated. By contrast not
only do both the IWCA and BNP champion the cause of the underdog, they
are by and large represented by candidates who are underdogs themselves.
This presents a natural advantage when standing in working class wards,
a social factor the mainstream parties will, as time goes by, find it
increasingly difficult to combat. Crucially where the BNP and IWCA differ
is not so much in orientation and strategy but on core policy. Whereas
the BNP priorities are defined in the main by race the IWCA manifesto
is single-mindedly governed by the interests concerns and aspirations
of class. Just how keen the differences are will only become apparent
when they go head to head. When eventually it happens the New Labour mantra
of us 'all being middle class now' will never have sounded more ridiculous.
In the meantime in terms of the strategies competing for 'working class
hearts and minds', while it undoubtedly has the more sophisticated long
term understanding, the IWCA has yet to develop the raw punching power
of the BNP, who now have five councilors and on recent form garner in
the region of 30% of the vote on average. But then as IWCA strategists
readily acknowledge, in terms of national profile and infrastructure they
are at least five years behind the BNP. And while it is true that victory
is not always of course to the swift, to realistically keep within touching
distance there are key issues, especially revolving around the raising
of finance and membership that IWCA activists will nonetheless need to
seriously address; probably before the next round of local elections in
May.
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